The Copa América 2024 semi-final is almost here, and it’s a big one: Argentina vs. Canada. For Argentina, it’s a chance to continue their dominant run and secure another final appearance. For Canada, it’s an opportunity to keep defying expectations in their debut tournament.
Argentina enters as the clear favorite, especially after their comfortable group stage win against Canada. But can Canada pull off an upset?
This article provides an Argentina vs Canada prediction based on the latest team news, key stats, and expert analysis to help you understand what to expect from this exciting match.
Team Overviews and Form Analysis
Let’s take a look at how each team is performing heading into this match.
Argentina: La Albiceleste’s Dominance
Argentina is looking strong at Copa America 2024 and remains undefeated. La Albiceleste has dominated CONCACAF opponents recently, winning its last 10 matches against them. With a potent attack and a sturdy defense, Argentina is a force to be reckoned with. In the group stage, Argentina defeated Canada 2-0. Argentina had 19 shots compared to Canada’s 10 and an expected goals (xG) rate of 2.2 versus Canada’s 0.8.
Canada: The Debutant’s Surprise Run
For a team making its Copa America debut, Canada has had a surprising run. Their victory over Venezuela in a penalty shootout was a huge morale booster. However, Canada has struggled to score goals, netting only two in their last six matches, and their defensive consistency has been shaky at times.
Team News and Predicted Lineups
Let’s take a look at the latest news from both camps.
Argentina Team News
The big news is that Lionel Messi has recovered from a minor groin injury and should be fit to play. It’s anticipated that Argentina will largely revert to their winning lineup for this crucial match.
Canada Team News
Canada, unfortunately, will be without Tajon Buchanan, who is out with an injury. There may be some adjustments to the team’s formation to compensate for his absence.
Key Player Analysis
Here’s a quick look at a player from each team who could make a difference in this match.
Argentina – Alexis Mac Allister
Alexis Mac Allister has been a key element of Argentina’s attack, notching two assists in this year’s Copa América. How does that compare to Lionel Messi’s past performance in this tournament?
Canada – Maxime Crepeau
Maxime Crepeau has allowed three goals, but he’s faced an expected goals on target (xGOT) total of 4.95. That difference suggests he’s overperforming in goal, a sign of a potentially outstanding performance.
Head-to-Head Record and Statistical Insights
Historically, Argentina has dominated past encounters with Canada. In the group stage match between these two teams, Argentina defeated Canada 2-0.
Looking at key statistical insights, the Opta supercomputer gives Argentina a 37.4% chance of winning and an 84% chance of reaching the final. Canada, on the other hand, has a 9.8% chance of winning inside 90 minutes, according to Opta’s pre-match simulations. Keep an eye out for expected goals (xG) and expected goals on target (xGOT) analysis as well.
Expert Opinions and Match Factors
What do the coaches and players think? Here’s a look at the challenges and opportunities both teams face.
Coach and Player Quotes
Canada’s coach Jesse Marsch recognizes the uphill battle his team faces. “Argentina will have to be the best match we’ve ever played and it still might not be enough,” he said.
Alphonso Davies acknowledges the challenge as well. “It’s going to take everything. We played them in the group stage and we played well but didn’t get the win we wanted,” he said.
Pitch Conditions and External Factors
Lionel Messi has commented on the pitch quality, noting, “The pitch always has an influence. It’s a reality that the pitches aren’t good.” How might the field conditions affect the game?
Frequently Asked Questions
How did Canada do against Argentina in previous matches?
Historically, Argentina has dominated matches against Canada. Canada has struggled to secure wins or even draws. Always check recent match results for the most up-to-date information, as past performance isn’t always indicative of future outcomes.
Is Argentina predicted to win their upcoming match?
Based on current form, historical performance, and team strength, Argentina is widely favored to win. However, predictions are never guarantees. Canada could put up a strong fight, and upsets happen in soccer. Stay tuned for the actual match!
What are the odds on Argentina vs Canada?
The odds heavily favor Argentina, reflecting their higher ranking and historical dominance. You’ll typically see Argentina with very low odds to win, while Canada’s odds will be significantly higher. Remember that odds can fluctuate leading up to the match, so check with your preferred sportsbook for the latest information.
Will Messi play vs Canada?
Whether or not Lionel Messi will play depends on several factors, including his fitness level and the coach’s strategy. As of now, it’s expected that Messi will feature in the match, but keep an eye on team announcements closer to kickoff for official confirmation. His presence would undoubtedly boost Argentina’s chances.
Summary
When Argentina and Canada face off, all eyes will be on Argentina’s current form, their historical dominance in head-to-head matchups, and the stats that suggest they have the edge. But you can’t count Canada out completely. As the underdogs, they have the potential to pull off an upset.
Ultimately, we’re predicting Argentina will win this match.
Buckle up for what promises to be an exciting Copa América 2024 semi-final!