Week 15 of the 2024 NFL season brings us an intriguing matchup: the Houston Texans versus the Miami Dolphins. With playoff contention on the line for both squads, this game carries significant weight. Can the Dolphins upset the Texans, or will Houston solidify their playoff position?
The current odds favor the Texans in this contest. Houston comes in with a record of 8-5, while the Dolphins are looking to improve on their 6-7 record. Let’s dive into a full analysis, looking at key matchups and providing our dolphins vs texans predictions.
Betting Odds and Lines
Here’s a quick look at how the sportsbooks are seeing this game:
- The Texans are favored by 2 points. If you’re betting on the Texans to cover the spread, the odds are -125. The Dolphins spread odds are -107.
- The Over/Under is 46.5 points, with the Over at -108 and the Under at -112.
Based on these numbers, the Texans have an implied win probability of 60.8%, while the Dolphins come in at 43.5%. Of course, that’s why they play the game!
Team Statistics and Performance
Let’s take a look at how the Texans and Dolphins stack up statistically.
Houston Texans
Here’s a look at the Texans’ offensive and defensive stats:
- Offense:
- Passing yards per game: 221.2 (rank 17)
- Rushing yards per game: 114.1 (rank 16)
- Points scored per game: 23.7 (rank 13)
- Defense:
- Passing yards allowed per game: 198.8 (rank 7)
- Rushing yards allowed per game: 109.7 (rank 10)
- Points allowed per game: 22.2 (rank 12)
Miami Dolphins
And here’s how the Dolphins are performing statistically:
- Offense:
- Passing yards per game: 226.5 (rank 14)
- Rushing yards per game: 105.2 (rank 25)
- Points scored per game: 20.3 (rank 23)
- Defense:
- Passing yards allowed per game: 212.8 (rank 11)
- Rushing yards allowed per game: 105.6 (rank 7)
- Points allowed per game: 22.5 (rank 14)
Key Player Matchups
Here are some players who could make the difference in the Dolphins-Texans game:
Texans Key Players
- C.J. Stroud: Keep an eye on his passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and completion percentage.
- Joe Mixon: Watch his rushing yards, touchdowns, and yards per attempt.
- Danielle Hunter: Sacks, sacks, sacks.
Dolphins Key Players
- Tua Tagovailoa: His passing yards, touchdowns, interceptions, and completion percentage will be key.
- Tyreek Hill: Receiving yards and touchdowns are what we’re looking for.
Critical Matchups
- Dolphins OT Kendall Lamm vs. Texans DE Danielle Hunter
- Dolphins Edge Chop Robinson vs. Texans OT Laremy Tunsil
- Dolphins LB Jordyn Brooks vs. Texans RB Joe Mixon
Scouting Report and Analysis
Let’s take a look at the strengths and weaknesses of each team.
Dolphins
The Dolphins need to find a way to get their running game going. Currently ranked 24th in the league, the Dolphins will need to find a way to move the ball on the ground against the Texans, who have a pretty solid run defense (10th in the league).
The Dolphins’ pass defense also needs to step it up after a lackluster performance last week.
Texans
The Texans have been showing strength on both sides of the ball, with a solid defense and consistent offensive production.
Special Teams
The Dolphins’ special teams are currently ranked dead last in the league (32nd). That could be a factor in a close game, so it’s something to keep an eye on.
Frequently Asked Questions
Have the Dolphins ever beat the Texans?
Yes, the Miami Dolphins have secured victories against the Houston Texans in their past matchups. The series record fluctuates, so it’s always best to check the latest standings and head-to-head results for the most up-to-date information.
What are the Dolphins’ chances of winning the Super Bowl?
The Dolphins’ Super Bowl chances vary throughout the season based on their performance, injuries, and the strength of their opponents. Sportsbooks and analysts constantly update these odds, so keep an eye on reputable sports news outlets for the latest projections.
Who is favored to win, the Dolphins or the Texans?
The team favored to win between the Dolphins and the Texans changes depending on factors like current form, home-field advantage, and player availability. Check the latest betting odds from major sportsbooks closer to the game to see who the oddsmakers are backing.
What are the odds the Texans win?
The odds of the Texans winning are subject to change leading up to the game. These odds reflect the perceived probability of the Texans winning, with lower odds indicating a higher probability. Major sportsbooks offer a range of betting options, so comparing odds from different sources is always a good idea.
The Bottom Line
The Texans’ defense looks tough, and the Dolphins need to find a way to get their running game going. Those factors will play a big role in deciding who wins this matchup.
My prediction? Texans 28, Dolphins 24.
This is an important game for both teams, and it should be an exciting one to watch. Good luck with your bets!