The Querétaro vs. Atlético San Luis match is always a hotly anticipated event for Liga MX fans. Before the game, data analysts crunch the numbers to predict the possible outcomes, offering probabilities for wins, losses, and draws.
But how do those predictions stack up against what actually happens on the field? This analysis looks at the pre-match forecasts for Querétaro vs. Atlético San Luis and compares them to the final result.
Pre-Match Data Analysis and Predictions
Before the Querétaro vs. Atlético San Luis match, analysts crunched the numbers to give us an idea of what to expect. Here’s a look at what the data suggested:
Win Probability
Atlético San Luis was given a slight edge, with a 37.89% chance of taking the win. Querétaro wasn’t far behind, though, with a 35.41% probability. A draw was also a strong possibility, sitting at 26.7%.
Scoreline Predictions
The most likely scorelines pointed to a tight match. A 0-1 victory for Atlético San Luis was a prominent prediction, as was a 1-0 win for Querétaro. A 1-1 draw was also seen as a probable outcome.
Goal Probabilities
The odds suggested a decent chance of both teams finding the back of the net, with a 51.83% probability. The data also leaned towards a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 goals considered more likely (53.2%) than over 2.5 goals (46.8%). The probability of under 3.5 goals was even higher, at 74.76%, compared to just 25.23% for over 3.5 goals.
How the Match Actually Played Out
Querétaro pulled off a 1-0 victory against Atlético San Luis.
Going into the match, a 1-0 win for Querétaro only had a 9.77% chance of happening, according to pre-match analysis. The most likely outcome was a draw, something that didn’t pan out.
This match really shows how soccer can surprise you. Even though data analysis gives us some good ideas about what might happen, the game itself can go in unexpected directions. That’s part of what makes it exciting, even when the stats point another way!
In Closing
As we’ve seen, data analysis can give us probabilities, but it can’t promise a particular outcome. There’s often a wide gap between what the numbers suggest before a match and what actually happens on the field.
While data analysis is a useful tool for understanding soccer, the unpredictable nature of sports means that luck, player performance, and other factors will always play a role.