College football fans, mark your calendars! November 28, 2024, brings us a game that’s sure to be a nail-biter: Tulane vs. Memphis.
Everyone’s got an opinion, but this article aims to cut through the noise and give you a solid prediction for the game. We’ll dive deep, looking at team stats, head-to-head history, and insights from the experts.
We’ll break down each team’s performance, spotlight key players to watch, give you the latest betting odds, and then, finally, offer our Tulane vs Memphis prediction. So, who’s going to come out on top? Let’s get into it!
Game Information and Betting Odds
Here’s what you need to know before the Tulane Green Wave face off against the Memphis Tigers:
- Date: November 28, 2024
- Teams: Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers
Now, let’s talk odds. As of this writing:
- Point Spread: Tulane -13.5
- Over/Under: 54.5
What do these numbers mean for you, the potential bettor? The point spread of -13.5 on Tulane means they are favored to win by more than 13.5 points. For those betting on the over/under, a combined score of 55 points or more would win the “over,” while 54 or fewer would win the “under.” It’s important to remember that betting odds can shift, so be sure to check the latest lines before placing your bets!
Team Performance Analysis: Tulane
Let’s take a look at what makes Tulane such a formidable team.
Offensive Prowess
Tulane’s offense is explosive, averaging 40.5 points per game, putting them in the top five nationally. They’ve got key offensive players who consistently deliver, making them a threat to score on every possession.
Defensive Strength
On the other side of the ball, Tulane’s defense is equally impressive, allowing just 17 points per game. Key defensive players consistently shut down opponents, contributing to Tulane’s strong defensive record. They’re a hard team to score against.
Turnover Margin
Tulane is disciplined and opportunistic when it comes to turnovers. They rarely give the ball away, with only 7 turnovers allowed, while forcing 20 turnovers from their opponents. Their ball security and ability to create turnovers give them a significant advantage.
Team Performance Analysis: Memphis
Here’s a look at the Memphis Tigers and how they match up against Tulane.
Offensive Capabilities
The Tigers are putting up an average of 35.3 points per game, which puts them at 20th in the nation. We’ll need to dig into the stats of their key offensive players to get a sense of exactly how they’re moving the ball downfield. Generally speaking, though, they seem to have a strong offense, but we’ll be looking for any weaknesses they might have.
Defensive Vulnerabilities
Memphis is allowing 22.6 points per game (46th in the nation), so their defense is statistically weaker than Tulane’s. We’ll need to compare the specific stats to understand how they’re struggling on the defensive side of the ball.
Turnover Margin
The Tigers have allowed only 8 turnovers (9th in the nation) and forced 21 (11th in the nation). We’ll need to look at how that turnover margin compares to Tulane’s to see who has the edge.
Recent Matchups: Tulane vs. Memphis
Looking at the last three games, Tulane seems to have Memphis’ number. Tulane is 2-1 in those matchups and, perhaps more importantly for bettors, they are 3-0 against the spread.
Of course, past performance doesn’t guarantee anything. Every game is different, with different players, different conditions, and different stakes. But, when you’re trying to predict a winner, it helps to look at how these teams have performed against each other recently. It gives you valuable context.
Betting Insights and Predictions
Data Skrive’s model predicts that Tulane will win by a comfortable 18 points, with a final score of 38-20. This model uses a blend of historical data, team statistics, and current player information to simulate the game thousands of times.
Based on the point spread, that translates to an 83.7% implied probability that Tulane will win. Implied probability is what sportsbooks think the likelihood of an outcome is, based on the odds they offer.
Our recommendation is to bet on Tulane to cover the -13.5 point spread. We’d also consider betting the over, with a total score of 54.5.
Key Players to Watch
For Tulane, keep an eye on their quarterback, Michael Pratt. He’s a game-changer. On the Memphis side, look out for running back Blake Watson. He consistently puts up impressive yardage. Both teams have difference-makers who could swing the game, so these players will be crucial.
Putting It All Together
Tulane’s potent offense combined with their solid defense gives them a clear advantage heading into this matchup. Memphis’s struggles on the defensive side of the ball are a real cause for concern.
Based on our analysis, we’re predicting that Tulane will not only win the game but also cover the spread.
Of course, it’s important to remember that sports betting should always be done responsibly. Please gamble within your means and be sure to do your own research before placing any bets. Good luck, and enjoy the game!